EDITORIAL: The Perilous Path Forward: Lifting the Arms Embargo on Somalia

Members of the Danab Brigade graduating class wear blindfolds while field-stripping their weapons as part of a demonstration during the graduation ceremony at Baledogle Airfield in Somalia on Aug. 3. STAFF SGT. ENRIQUE BARCELO/U.S. AIR FORCE

In a world where the specter of terrorism looms large, the decision to lift the arms embargo on Somalia by the United Nations Security Council is a double-edged sword. On one hand, it is a testament to the progress made in stabilizing the nation and combating the threat posed by Al-Shabaab. On the other, it raises significant concerns about the potential consequences of flooding a fragile nation with weapons.

The original arms embargo was imposed in 1992 in response to the civil war that engulfed Somalia following the collapse of the Siad Barre regime. The aim was to prevent the flow of weapons to warring factions, which were exacerbating the humanitarian crisis. Over the years, the embargo was modified to allow arms shipments to the Somali government and its security forces, while maintaining restrictions on other actors.

The recent lifting of the embargo is a recognition of the Somali government's efforts to establish control over its territory and combat Al-Shabaab. It is also a signal of international support for the government's efforts to build a capable security apparatus. However, this decision is not without risks.

Somalia is still grappling with significant challenges, including weak governance, corruption, and the presence of Al-Shabaab. The group has demonstrated its ability to adapt and survive, despite military pressure. The influx of weapons into the country could inadvertently end up in the hands of Al-Shabaab or other armed groups, fueling violence and instability.

Moreover, the lifting of the embargo does not address the underlying issues that led to the civil war and the rise of Al-Shabaab. Clan-based militias and power struggles continue to pose a threat to peace and security. The government's decision to arm these militias as part of its strategy to defeat Al-Shabaab is a risky move that could exacerbate these divisions.

The international community must remain vigilant and provide robust support to Somalia to ensure that the lifting of the embargo does not lead to an escalation of violence. This includes strengthening the capacity of the Somali government to manage and control its weapons stockpiles, as well as addressing the root causes of conflict and instability.

The lifting of the arms embargo on Somalia is a bold move, but it must be accompanied by a comprehensive and sustained effort to build a stable and prosperous nation. Failure to do so risks turning a hopeful step forward into a perilous journey into the unknown.

GAROWE ONLINE